Poverty indicators
from Philippine Daily Inquirer, September 27, 2003
by Solita Collas-Monsod
IF poverty issues in the Philippines got one-tenth, or even just one-hundredth, of the attention that has been lavished by the media, the public and political leaders on the Pidal brouhaha or the Kris/Joey drama, the country would probably be able to achieve its Millennium Development Goals on poverty -- halving the 1990 income poverty incidence by 2015 -- much ahead of schedule. But the way things have been going, one would almost think that poverty alleviation is close to the bottom of everybody's priority scale.
Take the Annual Poverty Indicators Survey (APIS) undertaken by the National Statistics Office (NSO) since 1998. It is a nationwide survey (with results down to the provincial level) designed to provide data that can be used to assess the progress of the war against poverty. Previous to APIS, poverty was officially measured only once every three years in conjunction with the triennial Family Income and Expenditures Survey (FIES).
A pretty important undertaking, one would surmise, particularly since every politician and wannabe professes that waging a successful war against poverty is his main goal in life. So what happens? Well, despite the "Annual" in its title, the survey was not undertaken in 2001, due to budgetary constraints. Then, when some preliminary results of the 2002 APIS were released in early January -- yes, all of eight months ago -- the media did not pick it up. Everyone was too busy analyzing whether the President meant what she said about not being a candidate in the next elections.
Worse, even the government agencies concerned with poverty monitoring and program assessment seemed to have forgotten that the figures were available for analysis, because when President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo gave her State of the Nation Address in July, no mention was made of the NSO findings. The poverty statistics she used were from the surveys by the Social Weather Stations research group, which were on self-rated poverty.
As it is, the final results are already available at the NSO, although they have yet to be officially published -- again, for lack of funds. We should give the data the attention they deserve, particularly since they provide us with hard information on how the war on poverty has been faring as well as an empirical basis for the assessment of the administration's poverty programs.
Recall that the 2000 FIES gave us the bad news that the war on poverty had suffered a setback: poverty incidence -- the percentage of Filipino families who did not have the income necessary to purchase basic food (2,000 calories/day) and non-food requirements -- had increased since 1997.
The 2002 APIS gives us better news. While there have been both gains and setbacks, there is little doubt that on the whole, Filipino families have improved the quality of their lives compared to 1999. Arguably the bottom 40 percent of Filipino families have also fared better on the whole in 2002 compared to three years before.
Let's look at the indicators for the bottom 40 percent of the families more closely. On the positive side, the data show the following:
On the other hand, there were setbacks, too:
Aside from the foregoing welfare indicators, the 2002 APIS also provides clues with respect to the effectiveness of certain important government programs. For example, we find that the percentage of poor families who got their homes through a government program decreased from 2.9 percent to 1.8 percent, while the percentage acquiring lands through the Comprehensive Agrarian Reform Program increased from 25.8 percent to 26.4 percent.
Let the President draw her own conclusions. We can draw our own.